Energy Consumption Increases Slightly in 2015 Renewables Continue to Grow / Advantages Due to Weather, Economic Trend and Immigration

Energy Consumption Increases Slightly in 2015 Renewables Continue to Grow / Advantages Due to Weather, Economic Trend and Immigration

Berlin/Cologne (Decem­ber 21, 2015) – In 2015, ener­gy con­sump­ti­on in Ger­ma­ny pea­k­ed at 13,335 peta­joules (PJ), or 455.0 mil­li­on tons of coal equi­va­lent (Mtce). Accor­ding to preli­mi­na­ry cal­cu­la­ti­ons made by the Arbeits­ge­mein­schaft Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen (AB Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen) – Working Group on Ener­gy Balan­ces (Ener­gy Balan­ces Group), this equ­als an increase of 1.3 per­cent com­pared to the pre­vious year.

The increase is pri­ma­ri­ly due to the wea­ther, which was slight­ly coo­ler than the very mild pre­vious year, and the asso­cia­ted hig­her demand for hea­ting ener­gy. Accor­ding to esti­ma­tes of the AG Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen, the increase in con­sump­ti­on resul­ting from the posi­ti­ve eco­no­mic trend (+ 1.8 %) and the growth in popu­la­ti­on (+ 1 mil­li­on peo­p­le) was com­pen­sa­ted by gains in ener­gy effi­ci­en­cy.

If adjus­ted to the wea­ther effect, last year’s ener­gy con­sump­ti­on would have decreased by 1.5 to 2 per­cent. With regard to CO₂ emis­si­ons, the AG Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen anti­ci­pa­tes only a slight increase when com­pared to the pre­vious year. It was pos­si­ble to cover a sub­stan­ti­al por­ti­on of the increase in con­sump­ti­on with rene­wa­bles and, thus, wit­hout any hig­her emis­si­ons. In addi­ti­on, the equal­ly high mine­ral oil con­sump­ti­on and the decli­ne in hard coal con­sump­ti­on redu­ced the CO₂ emis­si­ons. Adjus­ted to the tem­pe­ra­tu­re effect, CO₂ emis­si­ons are appro­xi­m­ate­ly 2 per­cent below the pre­vious year’s value.

Different Trends for Individual Energy Sources

In 2015, mine­ral oil con­sump­ti­on remain­ed vir­tual­ly unch­an­ged at the pre­vious year’s level. Total con­sump­ti­on amoun­ted to 4,511 PJ or 153.6 Mtce which is 0.1 per­cent less than in 2014. While the con­sump­ti­on of die­sel fuel increased by almost 4 per­cent, which is pri­ma­ri­ly due to the hig­her demand from the trans­por­ta­ti­on and con­s­truc­tion sec­tors, gaso­li­ne con­sump­ti­on exhi­bi­ted a minus of 2 per­cent becau­se of the decli­ning num­bers of pas­sen­ger cars with gaso­li­ne engi­nes. Sales of avia­ti­on fuel remain­ed at last year’s level. For light fuel oil, an increase in sales fai­led to appear despi­te the low pri­ces becau­se con­su­mers met their increased demand pri­ma­ri­ly from the exis­ting stocks.

Natu­ral gas con­sump­ti­on went up by 5 per­cent to 2,804 PJ or 95.7 Mtce. This was main­ly due to the wea­ther during the first half of the year, which was actual­ly coo­ler when com­pared to the very mild tem­pe­ra­tures of the pre­vious year, and to the asso­cia­ted increase in using natu­ral gas for hea­ting pur­po­ses. Howe­ver, the wea­ther during the fourth quar­ter of the year, which was once again very mild, dam­pened this growth quite con­sider­a­b­ly. With a minus of 7 per­cent, the­re was ano­ther decli­ne in power gene­ra­ti­on from natu­ral gas.

Hard coal con­sump­ti­on in 2015 drop­ped by 0.7 per­cent to 1,691 PJ or 57.7 Mtce. Hard coal par­ti­ci­pa­ted in an increase in power gene­ra­ti­on in Ger­ma­ny also becau­se of the very low glo­bal mar­ket pri­ces. The use of hard coal in power plants, thus, decreased only modera­te­ly by about 0.8 per­cent. Sales to the iron and steel indus­try remain­ed sta­ble at the pre­vious year’s level. All told, around two thirds of the enti­re hard coal con­sump­ti­on in Ger­ma­ny can be attri­bu­ted to power gene­ra­ti­on.

Lig­ni­te con­sump­ti­on in 2015 amoun­ted to 1,587 PJ or 54.1 Mtce, which was slight­ly abo­ve the pre­vious year’s value. Appro­xi­m­ate­ly 90 per­cent of the extra­c­ted lig­ni­te was used in power plants for the gene­ra­ti­on of power and heat; lig­ni­te mining remai­ning fair­ly sta­ble when com­pared to the pre­vious year. With about 155 tera­watt hours (TWh), power gene­ra­ti­on from lig­ni­te was also at the pre­vious year’s level.

Nuclear ener­gy exhi­bi­ted a minus of almost 6 per­cent, which is due to the decom­mis­sio­ning of the Gra­fen­rhein­feld nuclear power plant in mid-year.

Rene­wa­bles enhan­ced their con­tri­bu­ti­on by a total of about 11 per­cent to 1,679 PJ or 57.3 Mtce. While power gene­ra­ti­on from bio­mass increased by about 2 per­cent, the pro­por­ti­on of hydro power (exclu­ding pum­ped sto­rage) remain­ed at the pre­vious year’s level. Wind power on land and off shore exhi­bi­ted a plus of 50 per­cent com­pared to the pre­vious year. The share of solar ener­gy (pho­to­vol­taics and solar ther­mal ener­gy) increased by 6 per­cent. Bio fuels expe­ri­en­ced a decli­ne of 5 per­cent.

The export sur­plus for power increased con­sider­a­b­ly. Other ener­gy sources, pri­ma­ri­ly dome­stic and indus­tri­al was­te, expe­ri­en­ced a plus of almost 4 per­cent.

The Energy Mix Adjusts Itself

The struc­tu­re of ener­gy con­sump­ti­on (ener­gy mix) con­ti­nues to be cha­rac­te­ri­zed by the high pro­por­ti­on of mine­ral oil (33.8 per­cent). Natu­ral gas covers more than one fifth of the total con­sump­ti­on. Hard coal and lig­ni­te joint­ly cover more than one quar­ter of the ener­gy con­sump­ti­on in Ger­ma­ny with each con­tri­bu­ting almost the same share. Rene­wa­bles increased their con­tri­bu­ti­on in 2015 by more than one per­cent to 12.6 per­cent. All told, Ger­man ener­gy sup­p­ly is based on a broad mix of available ener­gy sources.

Energy Consumption in 2015
Slightly above the Previous Year

Progress of Primary Energy Consumption 2015 in Germany Changes in Percent — Total 13.335 PJ or 455,0 Mtce

Berlin/Cologne — Accor­ding to preli­mi­na­ry cal­cu­la­ti­ons made by the AG Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen, ener­gy con­sump­ti­on in Ger­ma­ny amoun­ted to 13,335 peta­joules (PJ) or 455.0 mil­li­on tons of coal equi­va­lent (Mtce) in 2015 which was 1.3 per­cent hig­her than the pre­vious year.

Source: AG Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen

Well Balanced Energy Mix

Proportion of Energy Sources of the Primary Energy Consumption 2015 in Germany — Total Volume 13,335 PJ oder 455 Mtce
Proportion in Percent (Previous-Year in Parentheses)

Primary Energy Consumption in Germany 1995 — 2015

in Petajoules (PJ)

Ener­gy con­sump­ti­on in Ger­ma­ny increased modera­te­ly in 2015. The slight­ly coo­ler wea­ther had the grea­test impact on this increase. When com­pared to pre­vious years, over­all con­sump­ti­on was at a low level.

Source: Arbeits­ge­mein­schaft Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen

Arbeitsgemeinschaft
Energiebilanzen e.V.

Reinhardtstr. 32
10117 Berlin

Ansprechpartner
Uwe Maaßen
u.maassen@ag-energiebilanzen.de

www.ag-energiebilanzen.de