Energy Consumption Drops to Historic Low Level — Significant Impact of the Coronavirus Pandemic/Proportion of Fossil Fuels Declines

Energy Consumption Drops to Historic Low Level — Significant Impact of the Coronavirus Pandemic/Proportion of Fossil Fuels Declines

Berlin/Bergheim (Decem­ber 17, 2020) – In 2020, ener­gy con­sump­ti­on in Ger­ma­ny decreased by 8.7 per­cent when com­pared to the pre­vious year; with 11,691 peta­joules (PJ), or 398.8 mil­li­on tons of coal equi­va­lent (Mtce), it drop­ped to a his­to­ric low level. When com­pared to 2006, the year with the hig­hest ener­gy con­sump­ti­on so far in Ger­ma­ny sin­ce Ger­man Reuni­fi­ca­ti­on, the decli­ne amoun­ted to about 21 per­cent, reports the Arbeits­ge­mein­schaft Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen (AG Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen) – Working Group on Ener­gy Balan­ces (Ener­gy Balan­ces Group).

Due to the decre­asing con­sump­ti­on as well as other shifts in the ener­gy mix in favor of rene­wa­bles and natu­ral gas, the AG Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen anti­ci­pa­tes a decli­ne in ener­gy-rela­ted CO₂ emis­si­ons of appro­xi­m­ate­ly 80 mil­li­on tons. This equ­als a decrease of about 12 per­cent when com­pared to the pre­vious year.

The signi­fi­cant decli­ne in the deve­lo­p­ment of con­sump­ti­on was pri­ma­ri­ly due to the macroe­co­no­mic and sec­to­ral effects of the coro­na­vi­rus pan­de­mic. This was accom­pa­nied by such long-term trends as the addi­tio­nal increase in ener­gy effi­ci­en­cy, sub­sti­tu­ti­ons in the ener­gy mix towards more rene­wa­ble ener­gy as well as the com­pa­ra­b­ly mild wea­ther. Slight con­sump­ti­on-enhan­cing effects emana­ted from the ener­gy pri­ces which drop­ped noti­ce­ab­ly over the cour­se of the year. Accor­ding to esti­ma­tes con­duc­ted by the AG Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen, the con­sump­ti­on-dam­pe­ning effect of the mild wea­ther was lar­ge­ly off­set by the stock­pi­ling of light fuel oil.

Mine­ral oil con­sump­ti­on decli­ned by a total of 12.1 per­cent to 3,965 peta­joules (PJ), or 135.3 mil­li­on tons of coal equi­va­lent (Mtce), in 2020. While sales of gaso­li­ne and die­sel fuel decreased slight­ly, the con­sump­ti­on of avia­ti­on fuel was redu­ced by half. Light fuel oil expe­ri­en­ced increa­ses in sales amoun­ting to more than 5 per­cent becau­se many con­su­mers used the low pri­ces to rep­le­nish their stocks. Sup­pli­es of naph­tha for the che­mi­cal indus­try increased by about 3 per­cent.

Natu­ral gas con­sump­ti­on decreased by 3.4 per­cent to 3,105 PJ, or 106.0 Mtce, in 2020. The pri­ma­ry reason for the decli­ne in con­sump­ti­on was the redu­ced demand for natu­ral gas in the indus­try as well as the trade, com­mer­ce, and ser­vice sec­tors which was a result of the coro­na­vi­rus pan­de­mic. In con­trast, more natu­ral gas was used for the pro­duc­tion of elec­tri­ci­ty and heat. For pri­va­te house­holds, a slight plus in con­sump­ti­on is anti­ci­pa­ted despi­te the com­pa­ra­b­ly mil­der tem­pe­ra­tures.

Hard coal con­sump­ti­on was 18.3 per­cent below the value for the same peri­od last year and pea­k­ed at 894 PJ, which trans­la­tes into 30.5 Mtce, in 2020. When it comes to the use of hard coal in power plants that gene­ra­te elec­tri­ci­ty and heat, the decli­ne amoun­ted to more than 26 per­cent. This deve­lo­p­ment is, in par­ti­cu­lar, due to the fact that elec­tri­ci­ty con­sump­ti­on expe­ri­en­ced a decli­ne, hig­her volu­mes of elec­tric power from wind tur­bi­nes and PV sys­tems were fed into the grid, and more natu­ral gas was used for the pro­duc­tion of elec­tri­ci­ty. The weak demand for steel when com­pared to 2019 cau­sed the use of hard coal in the steel indus­try to decrease by appro­xi­m­ate­ly 14 per­cent.

Lig­ni­te con­sump­ti­on drop­ped by 18.2 per­cent and amoun­ted to 950 PJ, which trans­la­tes into 32.4 Mtce, in 2020. This deve­lo­p­ment has various cau­ses: Addi­tio­nal power plant units were trans­fer­red into their stand­by mode for back­up pur­po­ses; and due to the wea­ther, hig­her volu­mes of elec­tric power from wind tur­bi­nes and PV sys­tems were fed into the grid. This was accom­pa­nied by unplan­ned power plant outa­ges, the effects of the coro­na­vi­rus pan­de­mic on power con­sump­ti­on as well as shifts in the com­pe­ti­ti­ve situa­ti­on on the natio­nal and Euro­pean elec­tri­ci­ty mar­kets due to low pri­ces for natu­ral gas. While bet­ween the months of Febru­ary and August, the con­sump­ti­on of lig­ni­te fell sub­stan­ti­al­ly below the respec­ti­ve months of the pre­vious year, a signi­fi­cant reco­very was recor­ded as of Sep­tem­ber.

Due to the sche­du­led shut­down of the power plant Phil­ipps­burg by the end of 2019, nuclear ener­gy expe­ri­en­ced a decli­ne of 14.4 per­cent in the pro­duc­tion of elec­tri­ci­ty in 2020.

All told, rene­wa­bles increased their share in the total ener­gy con­sump­ti­on by 3 per­cent to 1,962 PJ, or 66.9 Mtce, in 2020. Hydro­elec­tric power plants (exclu­ding pum­ped sto­rage plants) sup­pli­ed 5 per­cent less elec­tri­ci­ty than in the pre­vious year. In con­trast, the con­tri­bu­ti­on of wind power increased by 7 per­cent. Solar ener­gy recor­ded a plus of 9 per­cent. Bio­mass exhi­bi­ted only a slight plus of 1 per­cent. Pri­ma­ry ener­gy con­sump­ti­on from bio­ge­nic was­te was 1 per­cent below the pre­vious year’s value.

The con­sump­ti­on of other ener­gy sources – pri­ma­ri­ly non-bio­ge­nic resi­den­ti­al and indus­tri­al was­te – drop­ped by almost 15 per­cent to a total of 189 PJ, which trans­la­tes into 6.4 Mtce.

With about 21 bil­li­on kilo­watt hours (bil­li­on kWh), the nega­ti­ve balan­ce in Germany’s elec­tri­ci­ty exch­an­ge with its neigh­bor­ing count­ries was con­sider­a­b­ly smal­ler in 2020 than in the pre­vious year. Not only did the elec­tri­ci­ty volu­me which flowed from for­eign count­ries into Ger­ma­ny increase signi­fi­cant­ly, but also the elec­tri­ci­ty flows from Ger­ma­ny into its neigh­bor­ing count­ries took a down­turn.

The pro­por­ti­ons of the diver­se ener­gy sources of the natio­nal ener­gy mix shifted fur­ther in 2020 when com­pared to the pre­vious year: Fos­sil fuels expe­ri­en­ced an over­all decli­ne so that the ener­gy sup­p­ly in Ger­ma­ny was able to redu­ce its car­bon inten­si­ty even fur­ther. Howe­ver, a cha­rac­te­ristic fea­ture con­ti­nues to be the broad ener­gy mix. More than 60 per­cent of the dome­stic ener­gy con­sump­ti­on account for oil and gas. Hard coal and lig­ni­te coll­ec­tively encom­pas­sed almost 16 per­cent of the con­sump­ti­on. Rene­wa­bles increased their share to near­ly 17 per­cent.

Significant Decline in Energy Consumption

Development of Primary Energy Consumption in Germany in 2020
Estimated Changes in Percent — Total 11,691 PJ or 398.8 Mtce

Berlin/Bergheim – In 2020, pri­ma­ry ener­gy con­sump­ti­on in Ger­ma­ny fell in total
8.7 per­cent below the pre­vious year’s level. Accor­ding to preli­mi­na­ry cal­cu­la­ti­ons con­duc­ted by the Arbeits­ge­mein­schaft Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen (AG Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen) – Working Group on Ener­gy Balan­ces (Ener­gy Balan­ces Group), the total con­sump­ti­on pea­k­ed at 11,691 peta­joules (PJ), which trans­la­tes into 398.8 mil­li­on tons of coal equi­va­lent (Mtce). With the excep­ti­on of rene­wa­bles, all ener­gy sources expe­ri­en­ced a decli­ne.

Source: Arbeits­ge­mein­schaft Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen

Decrease in Consumption Changes Energy Mix

Structure of Primary Energy Consumption in Germany in 2020
Total Volume 11,691 PJ or 398.8 Mtce
Proportions in Percent (Previous Year in Parentheses)

Berlin/Bergheim – The con­tri­bu­ti­ons of the diver­se ener­gy sources to the natio­nal ener­gy mix have shifted slight­ly in favor of rene­wa­bles as well as natu­ral gas in 2020 while the total con­sump­ti­on volu­me tur­ned out to be signi­fi­cant­ly smal­ler than had been the case in 2019. Hard coal and lig­ni­te expe­ri­en­ced fur­ther decli­nes. Despi­te its slight­ly redu­ced share, mine­ral oil con­tin­ued to be by far the most important ener­gy source. A cha­rac­te­ristic fea­ture of the Ger­man ener­gy sup­p­ly con­ti­nues to be the broad ener­gy mix.

Source: Arbeits­ge­mein­schaft Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen

Primary Energy Consumption in Germany
1995 — 2029

in Petajoules (PJ)

Berlin/Bergheim – Accor­ding to preli­mi­na­ry esti­ma­tes con­duc­ted by the Arbeits­ge­mein­schaft Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen (AG Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen) – Working Group on Ener­gy Balan­ces (Ener­gy Balan­ces Group), ener­gy con­sump­ti­on in Ger­ma­ny in 2020 pea­k­ed at 11,691 peta­joules (PJ) which trans­la­tes into 398.8 mil­li­on tons of coal equi­va­lent (Mtce). It, thus, fell 8.7 per­cent below the level which had been rea­ched in 2019.

Source: Arbeits­ge­mein­schaft Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen

Arbeitsgemeinschaft
Energiebilanzen e.V.

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Ansprechpartner
Uwe Maaßen
u.maassen@ag-energiebilanzen.de

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