Working Group on Energy Balances (AG Energiebilanzen) Publishes Report on Energy Consumption in 2018

Working Group on Energy Balances (AG Energiebilanzen) Publishes Report on Energy Consumption in 2018

Berlin/Bergheim (May 6, 2019) — Germany‘s ener­gy con­sump­ti­on in 2018 decreased to its lowest level sin­ce the ear­ly 1970s. With a total volu­me of 12,963 peta­joules (PJ), or 442.3 mil­li­on tons of coal equi­va­lents (Mtce), con­sump­ti­on was actual­ly 3.5 per­cent below the pre­vious year’s level. As out­lined by the Arbeits­ge­mein­schaft Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen (AG Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen) – Working Group on Ener­gy Balan­ces (Ener­gy Balan­ces Group) in its recent­ly published Annu­al Report for 2018, this deve­lo­p­ment is due to signi­fi­cant­ly increased pri­ces for ener­gy, the mild wea­ther as well as a strong increase in ener­gy pro­duc­ti­vi­ty. In con­trast, the con­sump­ti­on-enhan­cing fac­tors eco­no­mic trend and growth in popu­la­ti­on rece­ded into the back­ground. Accor­ding to cal­cu­la­ti­ons made by the AG Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen, ener­gy con­sump­ti­on would have decreased by 2.4 per­cent wit­hout the con­sump­ti­on-redu­cing impact of the mild wea­ther.

When it comes to the deve­lo­p­ment of con­sump­ti­on last year, one of the sur­pri­ses was the sharp increase of the macroe­co­no­mic ener­gy pro­duc­ti­vi­ty by 5.2 per­cent (tem­pe­ra­tu­re- adjus­ted, plus 4.0 per­cent). This para­me­ter for an effi­ci­ent use of ener­gy is cal­cu­la­ted from the ener­gy input per unit of eco­no­mic per­for­mance. The long-term avera­ge value of this para­me­ter amounts to appro­xi­m­ate­ly 2 per­cent.

The deve­lo­p­ment of con­sump­ti­on, but also struc­tu­ral chan­ges in the ener­gy mix ent­ail­ed that the ener­gy-rela­ted CO₂ emis­si­ons in Ger­ma­ny decreased by about 34 mil­li­on tons (Mt) in 2018. This equ­als a decli­ne of 4.8 per­cent when com­pared to the pre­vious year. Even when taking the tem­pe­ra­tu­re effect into account, the reduc­tion is still signi­fi­cant with almost 4 per­cent and about 27 Mt respec­tively.

Conventional Energy Carriers on the Minus Side

In 2018, mine­ral oil con­sump­ti­on in Ger­ma­ny decreased by a total of 5.0 per­cent to 4,443 PJ (151.6 Mtce). Except for avia­ti­on fuels, all mine­ral oil pro­ducts recor­ded a decli­ne: Con­sump­ti­on of die­sel fuel went down by 3.1 per­cent; gaso­li­nes exhi­bi­ted a minus of 1.4 per­cent. With 16 per­cent, the decli­ne in the sales of light fuel oil was excep­tio­nal­ly sharp; howe­ver, the­re are indi­ca­ti­ons that con­su­mers first used up their own stocks in light of the high pri­ces, and that the actu­al con­sump­ti­on was hig­her than the sales in the trade sec­tor. When it comes to avia­ti­on fuels, con­sump­ti­on recor­ded a plus of 2.3 per­cent.

Natu­ral gas con­sump­ti­on pea­k­ed at 3,071 PJ (104.8 Mtce) in 2018 and was, thus, 1.6 per­cent below the pre­vious year’s value. The pri­ma­ry reason for this decli­ne was the redu­ced use of natu­ral gas for hea­ting pur­po­ses becau­se it was about 7.5 per­cent war­mer than in 2017 and
12.3 per­cent mil­der than the long-term avera­ge. Towards the end of the year, the cut­back in the pro­duc­tion of the che­mi­cal indus­try resul­ted in a decli­ning demand for natu­ral gas. In addi­ti­on, less natu­ral gas was used for power gene­ra­ti­on in 2018.

Hard coal con­sump­ti­on was once again cha­rac­te­ri­zed by a strong decli­ne. Com­pared to 2017, con­sump­ti­on decreased by 11.2 per­cent to 1,301 PJ (44.4 Mtce); it thus attai­ned the lowest level in Ger­man post-war histo­ry. The use of hard coal for the gene­ra­ti­on of elec­tric power and heat went down by 16 per­cent to about 26 Mt. In 2018, almost 59 per­cent of the hard coal volu­me in Ger­ma­ny were used for the gene­ra­ti­on of elec­tric power and heat. The down­ward trend reflects the expan­si­on of rene­wa­bles in power gene­ra­ti­on through which elec­tri­ci­ty from hard coal is incre­asing­ly being repla­ced and becau­se of which a num­ber of power plant units were decom­mis­sio­ned in 2018. The use of hard coal in the steel indus­try decreased slight­ly by almost 2 per­cent to 17.3 Mt in 2018. At the end of 2018, indus­tri­al hard coal mining was dis­con­tin­ued in Ger­ma­ny. In the future, Ger­ma­ny will satis­fy its demand for hard coal and hard coal coke enti­re­ly through imports.

Lig­ni­te con­sump­ti­on pea­k­ed at 1,465 PJ (50.0 Mtce). Thus, the con­sump­ti­on decreased for the sixth time in a row. The decli­ne amoun­ted to 2.9 per­cent due to the decre­asing use of lig­ni­te for power gene­ra­ti­on. By 2020, the use of lig­ni­te for power gene­ra­ti­on will decrease by a total of 13 per­cent when com­pared to 2015 which is due to the fact that a num­ber of power plants will be trans­fer­red into the secu­re and relia­ble stand­by mode for back­up pur­po­ses.

Nuclear ener­gy exhi­bi­ted a slight minus of 0.4 per­cent. All told, nuclear ener­gy still con­tri­bu­ted to the ener­gy balan­ce with a share of 829 PJ (28.3 Mtce) in 2018.

Rene­wa­bles bene­fi­ted from the instal­la­ti­on of addi­tio­nal capa­ci­ties – spe­ci­fi­cal­ly when it comes to pho­to­vol­taics – as well as from the par­ti­al­ly extre­me wea­ther con­di­ti­ons; they increased their con­tri­bu­ti­on to the total ener­gy con­sump­ti­on by 1.1 per­cent to 1,809 PJ (61.7 Mtce). The num­ber of suns­hi­ne hours rea­ched a record level so that the total use of solar ener­gy was able to post an increase of 16.5 per­cent. Wind ener­gy also expe­ri­en­ced a record year; it increased its share in the ener­gy balan­ce by 5.6 per­cent. In con­trast, the extre­me­ly low pre­ci­pi­ta­ti­on cau­sed hydro­power (wit­hout pum­ped sto­rage faci­li­ties) to drop by almost one fifth. Bio­mass, who­se share in the con­tri­bu­ti­on of rene­wa­bles curr­ent­ly amounts to 53.6 per­cent, recor­ded a minus of 2 per­cent which was pri­ma­ri­ly due to the mil­der wea­ther. Geo­ther­mal ener­gy remain­ed at the pre­vious year’s level.

Shifts in the Energy Mix

Rene­wa­bles were able to expand their shares in the ener­gy mix for 2018. Bio­mass, solar ener­gy, wind ener­gy, hydro­power, geo­ther­mal ener­gy, and the bio­ge­nic share of was­te accoun­ted for a total of 14.0 per­cent of the enti­re dome­stic ener­gy con­sump­ti­on. The most important ener­gy car­ri­er con­tin­ued to be mine­ral oil with a share of 34.3 per­cent, fol­lo­wed by natu­ral gas with 23.7 per­cent. Hard coal accoun­ted for a share of 10.0 per­cent and lig­ni­te for 11.3 per­cent. The con­tri­bu­ti­on of nuclear ener­gy amoun­ted to 6.4 per­cent.

Domestic Production Continued to Decrease

Dome­stic ener­gy pro­duc­tion exhi­bi­ted a 2.8 per­cent decli­ne to 3,891 PJ (132.8 Mtce) in 2018. While rene­wa­ble ener­gy sources increased their con­tri­bu­ti­on to dome­stic ener­gy pro­duc­tion by almost 1 per­cent, all other ener­gy car­ri­ers exhi­bi­ted decli­nes. With a minus of almost 30 per­cent, the decli­ne in dome­stic hard coal pro­duc­tion, which was com­ple­te­ly dis­con­tin­ued by the end of the year 2018, was par­ti­cu­lar­ly high. Dome­stic natu­ral gas pro­duc­tion decreased by 12.6 per­cent and mine­ral oil accoun­ted for a minus of more than 7 per­cent. Dome­stic lig­ni­te pro­duc­tion went down by 2.9 per­cent. All told, ener­gy pro­duc­tion from dome­stic resour­ces was able to cover 30 per­cent of the enti­re con­sump­ti­on. Today, the most important dome­stic ener­gy source are rene­wa­bles with a pro­por­ti­on of 46.3 per­cent (pre­vious year: 44.6 %). They were fol­lo­wed by lig­ni­te with 38.4 per­cent (pre­vious year: 38.5 %). The other ener­gy car­ri­ers gai­ned shares in the low sin­gle digit ran­ge.

Ger­ma­ny has to meet around 70 per­cent of its demand for ener­gy through imports. Rus­sia has beco­me the most important sup­pli­er by far. In 2018, 36.3 per­cent of the Ger­man cru­de oil imports came from Rus­sia; tog­e­ther with the other sta­tes of the for­mer Soviet Uni­on (CIS), the share actual­ly amounts to almost 53 per­cent. When it comes to hard coal, sup­pli­es from Rus­sia account for a share of about 40 per­cent. Due to the con­sidera­ble increase in ener­gy pri­ces, the import balan­ce for coal, natu­ral gas, and oil went up by appro­xi­m­ate­ly one fifth to almost 68 bil­li­on euros in 2018 when com­pared to the pre­vious year.

The detail­ed report on the deve­lo­p­ment of pri­ma­ry ener­gy con­sump­ti­on in 2018 is now available for down­load on the web­site of the AG Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen

Energy Consumption 2018

Development of Primary Energy Consumption in Germany in 2018 Changes in Percent – Total 12,963 PJ or 442.3 Mtce

Berlin/Bergheim – In 2018, pri­ma­ry ener­gy con­sump­ti­on in Ger­ma­ny fell 3.5 per­cent below the pre­vious year’s level. Accor­ding to cal­cu­la­ti­ons con­duc­ted by the Arbeits­ge­mein­schaft Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen (AG Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen) – Working Group on Ener­gy Balan­ces (Ener­gy Balan­ces Group), con­sump­ti­on pea­k­ed at 12,963 peta­joules (PJ), which trans­la­tes into 442.3 mil­li­on tons of coal equi­va­lents (Mtce).

Source: Arbeits­ge­mein­schaft Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen

More Renewables in the Energy Mix

Structure of Primary Energy Consumption in Germany in 2018
Total Volume 12,963 PJ or 442.3 Mtce
Proportion in Percent (Same Period of the Previous Year in Parentheses)

Berlin/Bergheim – The con­tri­bu­ti­ons of the diver­se ener­gy sources to the natio­nal ener­gy mix have shifted fur­ther in 2018. Rene­wa­bles as well as natu­ral gas were able to increase their shares in ener­gy con­sump­ti­on. Hard coal exhi­bi­ted decli­nes. Lig­ni­te and nuclear ener­gy were able to expand their shares slight­ly becau­se the decli­ne in the total ener­gy con­sump­ti­on was hig­her than the decli­ne that was recor­ded for the­se two ener­gy car­ri­ers. All told, Ger­man ener­gy sup­pli­es are based on a broad mix of available ener­gy car­ri­ers.

Source: Arbeits­ge­mein­schaft Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen

Development of Primary Energy Consumption in
Germany 1995 — 2018

in Petajoule (PJ)

Berlin/Bergheim — In 2018, ener­gy con­sump­ti­on in Ger­ma­ny pea­k­ed at 12,963 peta­joules (PJ) which trans­la­tes into 442.3 mil­li­on tons of coal equi­va­lents (Mtce). It, thus, fell 3.5 per­cent below the level that had been rea­ched in 2017. The decli­ne in con­sump­ti­on affec­ted all fos­sil fuels. Rene­wa­bles exhi­bi­ted an increase of about 1 per­cent.

Source: Arbeits­ge­mein­schaft Ener­gie­bi­lan­zen

Arbeitsgemeinschaft
Energiebilanzen e.V.

Reinhardtstr. 32
10117 Berlin

Ansprechpartner
Uwe Maaßen
u.maassen@ag-energiebilanzen.de

www.ag-energiebilanzen.de